Ratemaking and Experience Rating (RER-DMAEG)
Área
AC Matemática > UC Doutoramentos
Activa nos planos curriculares
Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão > Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão > 3º Ciclo > Unidades Curriculares Optativas > Optativas 1 > Ratemaking and Experience Rating
Nível
Doutoramento (D)
Tipo
Não Estruturante
Regime
Semestral
Carga Horária
Aula Teórica (T): 0.0 h/semana
Aula TeoricoPrática (TP): 2.0 h/semana
Trabalho Autónomo: 134.0 h/semestre
Créditos ECTS: 6.0
Objectivos
On completion of the subject the student should be able to build a tariff for some sorts of insurance, particularly those for big portfolio, like in the motor insurance line of business. To achieve that it is necessary to bring tools that model the past experience onto the portfolio future rating.
Thus, the student should get solid knowledge on Credibility Theory, Bonus-Malus Systems as well as be able to apply his acquired knowledge on Generalized Linear Models to ratemaking.
Programa
1. Introduction and concepts
2. Credibility theory
3. Bonus-malus systems
4. Experience rating and Generalized Linear Models. Applications
Metodologia de avaliação
Lectures will be of a mixed type, theoretical and practical, where there will be a presentation of the theory and explanation, followed by practical illustration. Students will be asked to solve the given problems. Evaluation will be twofold: A final exam according to ISEG's exam regulations at the end of the semester and a project. Exam is individual and the project is a tariff build and made by group of students. Project grade has a weight of 20% in the final mark.
Bibliografia
Principal
Loss Models, From Data to Decisions
Klugman, S.A.; Panjer, H.H. & Willmot, G.E.
(2008 or 2012)
(3rd or 4th editions), John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken NJ
Modern Actuarial Risk Theory: Using R
Kaas, R., Goovaerts, M., Dhaene, J. e Denuit, M.
2008
(2nd edition), Springer.
Teoria do Risco na Actividade Seguradora
Centeno, M.L.
2003
Celta Editora, Oeiras, Portugal.
.Non-Life Insurance Pricing with Generalized Linear Models,
Ohlsson, E. & Johansson, B.
2010
EAA series/EAA Lecture Notes, Springer.
Setting a bonus-malus scale in the presence of other rating factors: Taylor?s work revisited,
Pitrebois, S.; Denuit, M. & Walhin, J.F.
2003
ASTIN Bulletin, 33(2), 419-436.
Secundária
Não existem referências bibliográficas secundárias.